An eagle soars with wings fully extended, against a backdrop of misty mountains and a bright sky.

Why We Sometimes Favor Aggressive Political Leadership

read time - icon

0 min read

Jul 22, 2020

A few weeks ago, Canada lost its bid for a seat on the United Nations Security Council. For some, it was a non-event. But for others, it reminds of a moment from five years ago when the new government promised Canada a fresh, progressive, and multilateral foreign policy. After a similar UN Security loss by the Conservative government in 2010, Justin Trudeau stated rather bluntly: “Canada’s back.” Canada would supposedly regain its voice on the world stage with a new diplomatic approach. Now, many are left questioning how that policy has worked for Canada today.1

Leader persuasion is an essential skill for gaining popularity and enacting policy. There exists a body of political research that focuses on how, when, and why political leaders succeed. Much of the research explores “hawkish” policy, which is when leaders take an aggressive approach to international relations. Hawkish leaders are typically perceived to be stronger and more uncompromising than their dovish counterparts.2 Examples include Winston Churchill, Richard Nixon, and Margaret Thatcher, who once famously reminded George Bush not to “go wobbly” in response to Sadam Hussein’s invasion of Kuwait in 1990.

These leaders stand opposite to “dovish” leaders, who usually advocate for more peaceful or diplomatic measures, such as Jimmy Carter, who focused on human rights with his national security policy back in 1977.1 These categories do not necessarily define partisanship, as hawkish democrats and dovish Republicans do exist. These terms do, however, help describe the typical approaches that leaders use, especially in foreign policy matters.

Trudeau’s (failed) attempt to gain a seat at the UN Security Council highlights a misperception of hawkish policy’s success. A significant part of Trudeau’s early campaign was his promise to bring Canada a new foreign policy that contrasted the hawkish strategy used by previous governments.1 Reportedly, “Trudeau has repeatedly pointed to the 2010 failure to win a seat as a sign the Conservative approach to more hawkish foreign policy was not as effective as his own focus on multilateral and quieter diplomacy.”1

When Canada lost, critics were quick to blame the government’s “dilettante” strategy and lack of a coherent foreign policy. His “quiet and multilateral” position was perceived to be a passive approach.1,3 It’s plausible to think that an amicable demeanor might fair better in foreign policy, but research demonstrates the opposite to be true in many cases.

References

  1. Connoly, A. (2020). Canada loses high-profile bid for United Nations Security Council seat. Global News. Retrieved June 25, 2020, from https://globalnews.ca/news/7070563/canada-united-nations-security-council-seat/
  2. Kahneman, D., & Renshon, J. (2009). Hawkish biases. In T. A. Thrall & J. K. Cramer, American Foreign Policy and The Politics of Fear: Threat Inflation Since 9/11. Routledge.
  3. Cecco, L. (2020, June 18). Canada’s failed UN security council bid exposes Trudeau’s “dilettante” foreign policy. The Guardianhttps://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jun/18/canada-loses-bid-un-security-council-seat-justin-trudeau
  4. Mattes, M., & Weeks, J. L. P. (2019). Hawks, Doves, and Peace: An Experimental Approach. American Journal of Political Science63(1), 53–66. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12392
  5. Kane, J. V., & Norpoth, H. (2017). No Love for Doves? Foreign Policy and Candidate Appeal. Social Science Quarterly98(5), 1659–1676. https://doi.org/10.1111/ssqu.12377
  6. Kahneman, D., & Renshon, J. (2007). Why Hawks Win. Foreign Policy158, 34–38. JSTOR.
  7. Will protests help Donald Trump as they did Richard Nixon in 1968? (2020, June 8). The Economisthttps://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2020/06/08/will-protests-help-donald-trump-as-they-did-richard-nixon-in-1968
  8. Kreps, S. E., Saunders, E. N., & Schultz, K. A. (2018). The Ratification Premium: Hawks, Doves, and Arms Control. World Politics70(4), 479–514. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0043887118000102
  9. Webster, D. (2020, June 23). UN Security Council: Actually, the world doesn’t need more Canada. The Conversation. Retrieved June 25, 2020, from https://theconversation.com/un-security-council-actually-the-world-doesnt-need-more-canada-141092
  10. Why Canada failed to win a seat on the Security Council. (2020, June 27). The Economisthttps://www.economist.com/the-americas/2020/06/27/why-canada-failed-to-win-a-seat-on-the-security-council
  11. Globe editorial: Justin Trudeau’s UN Security Council bid was the ultimate show about nothing. (2020, June 18). https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/editorials/article-justin-trudeaus-un-security-council-bid-was-the-ultimate-show-about/
  12. Gurney, M. (2020, June 17). Matt Gurney: Canada’s back, and the United Nations rightly didn’t notice. National Post. https://nationalpost.com/opinion/matt-gurney-canadas-back-and-the-united-nations-rightly-didnt-notice
  13. Cohen, M. (2011, December 2). When Democrats became doves. Foreign Policy. https://foreignpolicy.com/2011/12/02/when-democrats-became-doves/

About the Author

A young woman with long, wavy hair sits on a bench, smiling. She wears a blue top and a dark jacket. The grassy courtyard and a brick building with windows and greenery are in the background.

Kaylee Somerville

Staff Writer

Kaylee is a research and teaching assistant at the University of Calgary in the areas of finance, entrepreneurship, and workplace harassment. Holding international experience in events, marketing, and consulting, Kaylee hopes to use behavioral research to help individuals at work. She is particularly interested in the topics of gender, leadership, and productivity. Kaylee completed her Bachelor of Commerce degree from the Haskayne School of Business at the University of Calgary.

About us

We are the leading applied research & innovation consultancy

Our insights are leveraged by the most ambitious organizations

Image

I was blown away with their application and translation of behavioral science into practice. They took a very complex ecosystem and created a series of interventions using an innovative mix of the latest research and creative client co-creation. I was so impressed at the final product they created, which was hugely comprehensive despite the large scope of the client being of the world's most far-reaching and best known consumer brands. I'm excited to see what we can create together in the future.

Heather McKee

BEHAVIORAL SCIENTIST

GLOBAL COFFEEHOUSE CHAIN PROJECT

OUR CLIENT SUCCESS

$0M

Annual Revenue Increase

By launching a behavioral science practice at the core of the organization, we helped one of the largest insurers in North America realize $30M increase in annual revenue.

0%

Increase in Monthly Users

By redesigning North America's first national digital platform for mental health, we achieved a 52% lift in monthly users and an 83% improvement on clinical assessment.

0%

Reduction In Design Time

By designing a new process and getting buy-in from the C-Suite team, we helped one of the largest smartphone manufacturers in the world reduce software design time by 75%.

0%

Reduction in Client Drop-Off

By implementing targeted nudges based on proactive interventions, we reduced drop-off rates for 450,000 clients belonging to USA's oldest debt consolidation organizations by 46%

Read Next

The image depicts a detailed diorama or model display of a Nazi rally, with miniature figures of Nazi soldiers, officials, and flags prominently featuring swastikas. The scene is filled with figures arranged in a setting that likely represents a propaganda event or military parade during the Third Reich. The flags and symbols of Nazi Germany are clearly visible throughout the scene, conveying the historical context of the time.
Insight

Beyond Irrational Politics

What can behavioral science tell us about politics? A lot, it turns out. Political polarization has intensified to the extent that we give our trust based on who says something, not what they say.

Four people stand against a patterned brick wall, all looking down and engaging with their smartphones. The context appears to be an outdoor setting with a decorative background.
Insight

The Post-Truth Problem

What is it about today’s moral climate that seems so explosive? In our hyper-connected, digitalized world, a Victorian-era essay provides surprisingly relevant guidance.

Notes illustration

Eager to learn about how behavioral science can help your organization?