Why We Sometimes Favor Aggressive Political Leadership
A few weeks ago, Canada lost its bid for a seat on the United Nations Security Council. For some, it was a non-event. But for others, it reminds of a moment from five years ago when the new government promised Canada a fresh, progressive, and multilateral foreign policy. After a similar UN Security loss by the Conservative government in 2010, Justin Trudeau stated rather bluntly: “Canada’s back.” Canada would supposedly regain its voice on the world stage with a new diplomatic approach. Now, many are left questioning how that policy has worked for Canada today.1
Leader persuasion is an essential skill for gaining popularity and enacting policy. There exists a body of political research that focuses on how, when, and why political leaders succeed. Much of the research explores “hawkish” policy, which is when leaders take an aggressive approach to international relations. Hawkish leaders are typically perceived to be stronger and more uncompromising than their dovish counterparts.2 Examples include Winston Churchill, Richard Nixon, and Margaret Thatcher, who once famously reminded George Bush not to “go wobbly” in response to Sadam Hussein’s invasion of Kuwait in 1990.
These leaders stand opposite to “dovish” leaders, who usually advocate for more peaceful or diplomatic measures, such as Jimmy Carter, who focused on human rights with his national security policy back in 1977.1 These categories do not necessarily define partisanship, as hawkish democrats and dovish Republicans do exist. These terms do, however, help describe the typical approaches that leaders use, especially in foreign policy matters.
Trudeau’s (failed) attempt to gain a seat at the UN Security Council highlights a misperception of hawkish policy’s success. A significant part of Trudeau’s early campaign was his promise to bring Canada a new foreign policy that contrasted the hawkish strategy used by previous governments.1 Reportedly, “Trudeau has repeatedly pointed to the 2010 failure to win a seat as a sign the Conservative approach to more hawkish foreign policy was not as effective as his own focus on multilateral and quieter diplomacy.”1
When Canada lost, critics were quick to blame the government’s “dilettante” strategy and lack of a coherent foreign policy. His “quiet and multilateral” position was perceived to be a passive approach.1,3 It’s plausible to think that an amicable demeanor might fair better in foreign policy, but research demonstrates the opposite to be true in many cases.
References
- Connoly, A. (2020). Canada loses high-profile bid for United Nations Security Council seat. Global News. Retrieved June 25, 2020, from https://globalnews.ca/news/7070563/canada-united-nations-security-council-seat/
- Kahneman, D., & Renshon, J. (2009). Hawkish biases. In T. A. Thrall & J. K. Cramer, American Foreign Policy and The Politics of Fear: Threat Inflation Since 9/11. Routledge.
- Cecco, L. (2020, June 18). Canada’s failed UN security council bid exposes Trudeau’s “dilettante” foreign policy. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jun/18/canada-loses-bid-un-security-council-seat-justin-trudeau
- Mattes, M., & Weeks, J. L. P. (2019). Hawks, Doves, and Peace: An Experimental Approach. American Journal of Political Science, 63(1), 53–66. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12392
- Kane, J. V., & Norpoth, H. (2017). No Love for Doves? Foreign Policy and Candidate Appeal. Social Science Quarterly, 98(5), 1659–1676. https://doi.org/10.1111/ssqu.12377
- Kahneman, D., & Renshon, J. (2007). Why Hawks Win. Foreign Policy, 158, 34–38. JSTOR.
- Will protests help Donald Trump as they did Richard Nixon in 1968? (2020, June 8). The Economist. https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2020/06/08/will-protests-help-donald-trump-as-they-did-richard-nixon-in-1968
- Kreps, S. E., Saunders, E. N., & Schultz, K. A. (2018). The Ratification Premium: Hawks, Doves, and Arms Control. World Politics, 70(4), 479–514. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0043887118000102
- Webster, D. (2020, June 23). UN Security Council: Actually, the world doesn’t need more Canada. The Conversation. Retrieved June 25, 2020, from https://theconversation.com/un-security-council-actually-the-world-doesnt-need-more-canada-141092
- Why Canada failed to win a seat on the Security Council. (2020, June 27). The Economist. https://www.economist.com/the-americas/2020/06/27/why-canada-failed-to-win-a-seat-on-the-security-council
- Globe editorial: Justin Trudeau’s UN Security Council bid was the ultimate show about nothing. (2020, June 18). https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/editorials/article-justin-trudeaus-un-security-council-bid-was-the-ultimate-show-about/
- Gurney, M. (2020, June 17). Matt Gurney: Canada’s back, and the United Nations rightly didn’t notice. National Post. https://nationalpost.com/opinion/matt-gurney-canadas-back-and-the-united-nations-rightly-didnt-notice
- Cohen, M. (2011, December 2). When Democrats became doves. Foreign Policy. https://foreignpolicy.com/2011/12/02/when-democrats-became-doves/
About the Author
Kaylee Somerville
Kaylee is a research and teaching assistant at the University of Calgary in the areas of finance, entrepreneurship, and workplace harassment. Holding international experience in events, marketing, and consulting, Kaylee hopes to use behavioral research to help individuals at work. She is particularly interested in the topics of gender, leadership, and productivity. Kaylee completed her Bachelor of Commerce degree from the Haskayne School of Business at the University of Calgary.
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