Why do we value immediate rewards more than long-term rewards?

What is 

Hyperbolic Discounting

?
Bias

Hyperbolic discounting is our inclination to choose immediate rewards over rewards that come later in the future, even when these immediate rewards are smaller.

Where this bias occurs

Consider the following hypothetical: John buys a lottery ticket every week. He hopes to someday win big. One fortunate day, against all odds, he does. John is now worth just over $5 million.

After a frenzy of celebrations and hugs, John drove to the lottery offices to claim his prize. When he arrived, the lottery director gave him a choice: he could either claim the $5 million now, or he could choose to receive $250,000 every year for the rest of his life instead. John was only 35. Quick mental math pointed to the second option generating more revenue for John if he lived past the age of 55— which he planned on. But, John imagined having a seven figure total in his bank account and relished at all the things he could buy today.

John decided to take the first option, even though he would receive less money from it in the long-run. His preference towards immediate benefits over future gain can be attributed to hyperbolic discounting.

Sources

  1. Samson, A. (2017). The Behavioral Economics Guide 2017. Behavioral Science Solutions.
  2. Bickel, W. K., Odum, A. L., & Madden, G. J. (1999). Impulsivity and cigarette smoking: Delay discounting in current, never, and ex-smokers. Psychopharmacology, 146(4), 447-454. doi:10.1007/pl00005490
  3. Samson, A. (2017). The Behavioral Economics Guide 2017. Behavioral Science Solutions.
  4. Prospect Theory and Loss Aversion: How Users Make Decisions. (n.d.). Retrieved July 11, 2020, from https://www.nngroup.com/articles/prospect-theory/
  5. Temporal Myopia: Making Bad Long-term Decisions. (2012, September 23). Retrieved July 11, 2020, from https://www.psychologytoday.com/ca/blog/brain-bugs/201209/temporal-myopia-making-bad-long-term-decisions
  6. Holyoak, K. J., & Morrison, R. G. (2013). Decisions Regarding the Future: Temporal Discounting. In The Oxford handbook of thinking and reasoning (pp. 312-313). Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  7. YEŞİLKAYALI, D. (n.d.). PROCRASTINATION AND FUTURE DISCOUNTING. The Journal of International Social Research, 7(30).
  8. Sheffer, C. E., Mackillop, J., Fernandez, A., Christensen, D., Bickel, W. K., Johnson, M. W.,Mathew, M. (2016). Initial examination of priming tasks to decrease delay discounting. Behavioural Processes, 128, 144-152. doi:10.1016/j.beproc.2016.05.002
  9. Hershfield, H. E., Goldstein, D. G., Sharpe, W. F., Fox, J., Yeykelis, L., Carstensen, L. L., & Bailenson, J. N. (2011). Increasing Saving Behavior Through Age-Progressed Renderings of the Future Self. Journal of Marketing Research, 48(SPL). doi:10.1509/jmkr.48.spl.s23
  10. Ainslie, G. (2012). Pure HyHyperbolic Discount Curves Predict “Eyes Open” Self-Control. Theory and Decision. doi:10.1007/s11238­011­9272­5
  11. Loewenstein, G., & Thaler, R. (1989). Anomalies: Intertemporal Choice. The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 3(4), 181-193. Retrieved July 11, 2020, from www.jstor.org/stable/1942918

About the Authors

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Dan Pilat

Dan is a Co-Founder and Managing Director at The Decision Lab. He is a bestselling author of Intention - a book he wrote with Wiley on the mindful application of behavioral science in organizations. Dan has a background in organizational decision making, with a BComm in Decision & Information Systems from McGill University. He has worked on enterprise-level behavioral architecture at TD Securities and BMO Capital Markets, where he advised management on the implementation of systems processing billions of dollars per week. Driven by an appetite for the latest in technology, Dan created a course on business intelligence and lectured at McGill University, and has applied behavioral science to topics such as augmented and virtual reality.

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Dr. Sekoul Krastev

Sekoul is a Co-Founder and Managing Director at The Decision Lab. He is a bestselling author of Intention - a book he wrote with Wiley on the mindful application of behavioral science in organizations. A decision scientist with a PhD in Decision Neuroscience from McGill University, Sekoul's work has been featured in peer-reviewed journals and has been presented at conferences around the world. Sekoul previously advised management on innovation and engagement strategy at The Boston Consulting Group as well as on online media strategy at Google. He has a deep interest in the applications of behavioral science to new technology and has published on these topics in places such as the Huffington Post and Strategy & Business.

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