Why do we value immediate rewards more than long-term rewards?

The 

Hyperbolic Discounting

, explained.
Bias

What is Hyperbolic Discounting?

Hyperbolic discounting is our inclination to choose immediate rewards over rewards that come later in the future, even when these immediate rewards are smaller.

Where this bias occurs

Consider the following hypothetical: John buys a lottery ticket every week. He hopes to someday win big. One fortunate day, against all odds, he does. John is now worth just over $5 million.

After a frenzy of celebrations and hugs, John drives to the lottery offices to claim his prize. When he arrives, the lottery director gives him a choice: he could either claim the $5 million now, or he could choose to receive $250,000 every year for the rest of his life instead. John is only 35. Quick mental math points to the second option generating more revenue for John if he lives past the age of 55—which he plans on doing. But, John imagines having a seven figure total in his bank account and relishes the idea of all the things he could buy today.

John decides to take the first option, even though he will likely receive less money from it in the long-run. His preference towards immediate benefits over future gain can be attributed to hyperbolic discounting.

Sources

  1. Samson, A. (2017). The Behavioral Economics Guide 2017. Behavioral Science Solutions.
  2. Bickel, W. K., Odum, A. L., & Madden, G. J. (1999). Impulsivity and cigarette smoking: Delay discounting in current, never, and ex-smokers. Psychopharmacology, 146(4), 447-454. doi:10.1007/pl00005490
  3. Samson, A. (2017). The Behavioral Economics Guide 2017. Behavioral Science Solutions.
  4. Prospect Theory and Loss Aversion: How Users Make Decisions. (n.d.). Retrieved July 11, 2020, from https://www.nngroup.com/articles/prospect-theory/
  5. Temporal Myopia: Making Bad Long-term Decisions. (2012, September 23). Retrieved July 11, 2020, from https://www.psychologytoday.com/ca/blog/brain-bugs/201209/temporal-myopia-making-bad-long-term-decisions
  6. Holyoak, K. J., & Morrison, R. G. (2013). Decisions Regarding the Future: Temporal Discounting. In The Oxford handbook of thinking and reasoning (pp. 312-313). Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  7. YEŞİLKAYALI, D. (n.d.). PROCRASTINATION AND FUTURE DISCOUNTING. The Journal of International Social Research, 7(30).
  8. Sheffer, C. E., Mackillop, J., Fernandez, A., Christensen, D., Bickel, W. K., Johnson, M. W.,Mathew, M. (2016). Initial examination of priming tasks to decrease delay discounting. Behavioural Processes, 128, 144-152. doi:10.1016/j.beproc.2016.05.002
  9. Hershfield, H. E., Goldstein, D. G., Sharpe, W. F., Fox, J., Yeykelis, L., Carstensen, L. L., & Bailenson, J. N. (2011). Increasing Saving Behavior Through Age-Progressed Renderings of the Future Self. Journal of Marketing Research, 48(SPL). doi:10.1509/jmkr.48.spl.s23
  10. Ainslie, G. (2012). Pure Hyperbolic Discount Curves Predict “Eyes Open” Self-Control. Theory and Decision. doi:10.1007/s11238­011­9272­5
  11. Loewenstein, G., & Thaler, R. (1989). Anomalies: Intertemporal Choice. The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 3(4), 181-193. Retrieved July 11, 2020, from www.jstor.org/stable/1942918
  12. Frederick, S., Loewenstein, G., & O’Donoghue, T. (2002). Time Discounting and Time Preference: A Critical Review. Journal of Economic Literature, 40(2), 351–401. http://www.jstor.org/stable/2698382
  13. Chung, H., & Herrnstein, R. J. (1967). CHOICE AND DELAY OF REINFORCEMENT1. Journal of the Experimental Analysis of Behavior, 10(1), 67-74. https://doi.org/10.1901/jeab.1967.10-67
  14. Solá, A. T. (2024, November 4). Gen Z, millennials are using AI for personal finance advice, report finds. CNBC. https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/04/how-to-use-artificial-intelligence-for-personal-finance.html
  15. Brocas, I., Carrillo, J. D., & Dewatripont, M. (2004). Commitment devices under self-control problems: An overview. The Psychology of economic decisions, 2, 49-67.

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