Self-Fulfilling Prophecy

What is a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy?

A self-fulfilling prophecy refers to how the expectations of a person or group can inadvertently influence behaviors that confirm those expectations. 

The Basic Idea

Imagine a quiet middle school student, James, who had always been told he wasn’t very good at math. Teachers, tutors, and even his parents had repeated the message in different ways—“math just isn’t your thing,” or “don’t worry, not everyone is a numbers person.” His scores had never been that bad, but neither had they been good. 

Over time, James began to believe what he was being told. He stopped asking questions in class and started to dread tests. No matter how much he studied, a voice in the back of his head reminded him it probably wouldn’t make a difference.

When the end-of-term exam came around, James was convinced he would fail before he even sat down. Not seeing the point of even trying, he rushed through problems, skipped the harder ones, and second-guessed himself constantly. He turned in his paper early, not because he was finished, but because he wanted it over with. A week later, his poor grade seemed to confirm what everyone had always said.

James’s apparent lack of talent for maths is a clear example of a self-fulfilling prophecy. That is, the expectations placed on him by those around him directly influenced his behavior. His belief in his own inability became the very reason he underperformed. In this way, a false assumption—reinforced by repeated messages from others—gradually shaped his actions and led to an outcome that seemed to confirm the original (but inaccurate) belief.

In psychological and educational research, the concept of self-fulfilling prophecy is well-documented, particularly in relation to academic achievement, social identity, and motivation. When individuals internalize external judgments, they may unconsciously adjust their behavior to align with those expectations. Over time, these behavioral changes reinforce the original belief, making it appear accurate and objective, when in fact it was shaped by perception rather than fact.

If men define situations as real, they are real in their consequences


— William Isaac Thomas and Dorothy Swain Thomas, describing the ‘Thomas Theorem’

About the Author

Dr. Lauren Braithwaite

Dr. Lauren Braithwaite

Dr. Lauren Braithwaite is a Social and Behaviour Change Design and Partnerships consultant working in the international development sector. Lauren has worked with education programmes in Afghanistan, Australia, Mexico, and Rwanda, and from 2017–2019 she was Artistic Director of the Afghan Women’s Orchestra. Lauren earned her PhD in Education and MSc in Musicology from the University of Oxford, and her BA in Music from the University of Cambridge. When she’s not putting pen to paper, Lauren enjoys running marathons and spending time with her two dogs.

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