Por qué creemos que tenemos más control sobre el mundo del que realmente tenemos

The

Ilusión de control

explicó.

Bias

¿Qué es la ilusión de control?

La ilusión de control describe cómo creemos que tenemos más control sobre los acontecimientos del que realmente tenemos. Incluso cuando algo es fruto del azar, a menudo sentimos que podemos influir en ello de alguna manera.

illusion of control

Dónde se produce

Tú y tu familia vais a ver a vuestro equipo de fútbol favorito en el partido del campeonato de liga. Como siempre, tu padre lleva su camiseta de la "suerte" con los colores del equipo. Últimamente le queda un poco pequeña, pero insiste en ponérsela porque cree que aumentará las posibilidades de victoria del equipo.

Related Biases

Referencias

Cowley, E., Briley, D. A., & Farrell, C. (2015). How do gamblers maintain an illusion of control? Journal of Business Research, 68(10), 2181-2188. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2015.03.018
Langer, E. J. (1975). The illusion of control. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 32(2), 311-328. https://doi.org/10.1037/0022-3514.32.2.311
Glass, D. C., Reim, B., & Singer, J. E. (1971). Behavioral consequences of adaptation to controllable and uncontrollable noise. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 7(2), 244-257. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-1031(71)90070-9
Miller, W. R., & Seligman, M. E. (1975). Depression and learned helplessness in man. Journal of Abnormal Psychology, 84(3), 228-238. https://doi.org/10.1037/h0076720
Optimism bias. (2019, August 22). The Decision Lab. https://thedecisionlab.com/biases/optimism-bias/
Dunning–Kruger effect. (2020, July 22). The Decision Lab. https://thedecisionlab.com/biases/dunning-kruger-effect/
Ackerman, C. E. (2019, April 7). Pollyanna principle: The psychology of positivity bias. PositivePsychology.com. https://positivepsychology.com/pollyanna-principle/
Kahneman, D. (2011). Thinking, fast and slow. Macmillan.
Lopez-Gonzalez, H., Estévez, A., & Griffiths, M. D. (2017). Controlling the illusion of control: A grounded theory of sports betting advertising in the UK. International Gambling Studies, 18(1), 39-55. https://doi.org/10.1080/14459795.2017.1377747
Fenton-O’Creevy, M., Nicholson, N., Soane, E., & Willman, P. (2003). Trading on illusions: Unrealistic perceptions of control and trading performance. Journal of Occupational and Organizational Psychology, 76(1), 53-68. https://doi.org/10.1348/096317903321208880
Matute, H., Blanco, F., Yarritu, I., Díaz-Lago, M., Vadillo, M. A., & Barberia, I. (2015). Illusions of causality: How they bias our everyday thinking and how they could be reduced. Frontiers in Psychology, 6. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2015.00888
Lovallo, D., & Kahneman, D. (2003, July). Delusions of success: How optimism undermines executives’ decisions. Harvard Business Review. https://hbr.org/2003/07/delusions-of-success-how-optimism-undermines-executives-decisions
PlaySmart. (n.d.). Lottery odds. OLG PlaySmart – Gambling Facts, Tools and Advice. https://www.playsmart.ca/lottery-instant-games/lottery/odds/
Mele, C. (2016, October 27). Pushing That Crosswalk Button May Make You Feel Better, but …. The New York Times. https://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/28/us/placebo-buttons-elevators-crosswalks.html
Rudski, J. (2004). The illusion of control, superstitious belief, and optimism. Current Psychology, 22(4), 306-315. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12144-004-1036-8
Plante, S. G. (2019, October 23). “It’s just a big illusion”: How homeopathy went from fringe medicine to the grocery aisles. Vox. https://www.vox.com/the-highlight/2019/10/16/20910346/homeopathic-homeopathy-holistic-alternative-medicine-oscillococcinum-history